Moldova poll: PAS leads Parliament race, 4 parties in
Four political entities would secure seats in Parliament if elections were held next Sunday, but only based on votes from within the country.
A survey conducted by iData, released on June 30, indicates that the Party of Action and Solidarity (PAS) would get the most seats – 49 – out of a total of 101. Following them would rank the Party of Socialists (PSRM), the "Victory" Political Bloc, and the "Alternativa" Bloc.
According to the research, if parliamentary elections were held, PAS would garner 40.4% of the votes of decided voters, followed by PSRM with 16.4%, the "Victory" Political Bloc with 15.5%, and the Alternativa Bloc with 10.3%.
Other political formations, such as Our Party (4.3%), PCRM (3.5%), or PSDE (2.1%), would not meet the electoral threshold to enter Parliament.
"We currently have four political entities that could, at present, enter Parliament, but these calculations are made without the votes from the diaspora and Transnistria," stated Mihai Bologan, director of the sociological company Date Inteligente, during a press conference.
Based on these figures, the distribution of seats in Parliament (excluding votes from the diaspora and Transnistria) would be as follows:
- PAS – 49 seats
- PSRM – 20 seats
- Victory Bloc – 19 seats
- Alternativa Bloc – 13 seats
Compared to the May survey, Our Party no longer meets the electoral threshold.
"Currently, there's a monopolistic situation on the right – with PAS potentially securing a simple majority due to diaspora votes," Bologan anticipated.
Meanwhile, on the left wing, a competition is taking shape among multiple formations, but the "Victory" Bloc's situation remains uncertain.
"Currently, it's unclear whether the Victory Bloc will be able to participate in the elections. There are many indications that it won't be allowed to participate, meaning these votes will likely be redistributed among other left-wing formations," the iData director added.
As for the political center, it is divided and has few real chances of securing seats in Parliament.
"And we practically don't have any solid center party. The center is fragmented into multiple parties, and each individually cannot secure seats in Parliament at present," Bologan concluded.
Maia Sandu, the undisputed leader in terms of trust
Regarding trust in politicians, the ranking is still led by Maia Sandu, with 26.9% of respondents stating they have the most confidence in her.
The following positions are held by:
- Ilan Șor – 9.2%
- Igor Dodon – 9.1%
- Ion Ceban – 6.4%
- Alexandr Stoianoglo – 3.8%
- Renato Usatîi – 3.3%
Additionally, nearly 21% of citizens stated they do not trust any politician, while another 5.4% did not respond or selected "don't know."
The survey was conducted between June 14–23, 2025, on a sample of 1,015 respondents from 310 localities in the Republic of Moldova. The margin of error is ±3%. The data collection method was mixed: 80% telephone interviews (CATI) and 20% face-to-face interviews (CAPI). The data was collected by Field Logistics, on behalf of iData.
Translation by Iurie Tataru
