Satoshi favored to qualify for Eurovision final with 89% odds
Finland, Greece, and Denmark are the top favorites to win Eurovision 2026, according to international bookmakers. Romania is also in the Top 10. The Republic of Moldova has a 1% chance of winning, but bookmakers believe it has a good chance of qualifying for the grand final in Vienna.
Finland holds a significant lead in the bookmakers' rankings with a 38% share. If Finland wins, it would mark the country's second victory in the last 20 years. The first win was achieved by the band Lordi with their song "Hard Rock Hallelujah."
Greece is currently in second place, with a 13% chance of victory. A win would mark Greece's second victory, following Helena Paparizou's win in 2005 with the song "My Number One."
Denmark ranks third, with a 10% probability of winning. It is one of the most experienced participants in the contest, having won the trophy three times: in 1963, 2000, and 2013.
The top ten also includes France, Australia, Israel, Malta, Romania, Italy, and Sweden.
Moldova has an 89% chance of qualifying for the final of the competition
Good news for the Republic of Moldova as it heads into the first semi-final. Bookmakers are giving Moldova an 89% chance of qualifying for the grand final, alongside the main favorites, Finland and Greece.
Satoshi will perform on May 12 in the first semi-final, where Moldova has that same 89% chance of qualifying.
However, bookmakers are more cautious regarding Moldova's chances in the grand final, assigning it only a 1% chance of victory.
The song "Viva, Moldova" will open the first semi-final of Eurovision 2026 in Vienna.
The first semi-final of the music competition will be held on May 12, the second semi-final on May 14, and the grand final on May 16, all in Vienna.
A total of 25 participants will perform in the final event.
All three shows will be broadcast live on Moldova 1, starting at 10:00 PM.
